Friday, April 21, 2006

...an ace that I could keep.


Here it is - the last of the last. It's the touchy-feely part. Everyone hold hands, and join me in singing Kum-Ba-Yah. I'll solo the "Someone's crying" verse.

Seriously though…it seems as the most commonly asked question is if I enjoyed the experience. The answer is "mostly, no". The poker part, I did not enjoy at all. It was frustrating and demoralizing. And since poker was the entire reason for the trip, it made things miserable for the most part. However, I wouldn't say I was in agony, despite some posts that would imply otherwise. Before I left for Vegas, I checked out some other poker blogs and found that the ones I enjoyed most were the ones that talked about other aspects of life in addition to poker. There was one in particular that many other bloggers were talking about, and this blogger was describing, over a series of posts, an agonizing divorce from his wife. Based on the reactions of other bloggers, and the comments on the divorcee's blog, I saw that other people felt the same way as I did - that real, honest, and heartfelt reporting was interesting. So I decided to do my best to put it all out there, good or bad. Since it's unusual for a guy to be open about doubt, frustration, and similar feelings, it may have seemed like things were worse than they were. But I don't think I felt much differently than most guys would have in my position - it just wasn't filtered by machismo.

Perhaps a better question is, “Are you glad you did it?” The answer to that is definitely “yes”. My main goal was to see what it felt like to be a poker pro. To me, that existence would encompass a spectrum of two general states – running good, and running bad. Unfortunately, I did not go through the “running good” version, so I may never know what it feels like to “have to” play poker every day, while you are being successful. But I did get a feeling for the other part. And I can say with some authority, "Yuck." It was very difficult for me on a personal level, and it was difficult to get online and write about it for most of my friends, family, and even a few strangers. Still, I cannot imagine what it would feel like if the audience was comprised of your wife and children, and your winnings were needed to provide for their food and shelter. Talk about immense and relentless pressure.

As for all of the non-poker related aspects of the trip, I can’t imagine them being more enjoyable than they were. I was fortunate enough to have a long list (for me, anyway) of visitors, and people to visit with. Also, I will never forget the support, encouragement, emails, phone calls, care packages etc. sent my way by so many of you – that was incredible, it meant a lot, and it really, really helped.

Also, the whole experience of blogging has been remarkable. As you may have guessed, I like to write. It’s been gratifying to read your positive responses and hear that the work I’ve put into this has been appreciated. The posts and the comments were a major aspect of my “social life” and helped me feel connected to the real world. I have little doubt that I will be blogging again someday. In fact, one idea I’ve been tossing around is making a movie…camcorder quality, with ambitions of kitschy humor. I’m thinking along the lines of a zombie-based musical love story, but who knows? Anyway, the process of making a movie would surely make for an interesting blog, and the online community might also make some contributions. If you would be interested in following along with such an endeavor and I don’t already have your email address, send it to me.

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So my dad called the other night and wanted to get a summary of the trip. I told him what I thought. And then, I got to hear what he thought.

Now, you should understand that my family is, by today’s standards, rather firmly on the conservative side. I suppose I should clarify; my parents have certainly had their progressive streaks, but these forays into the “wild side” were always more along the lines of vegetarian diets, geodesic domes (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geodesic_dome) and the like. That is to say, their adventuresome endeavors were related to the methods by which someone might live their life, but not the morality. The latter was always dictated by their devout belief in the Catholic faith.

That morality, combined with my father’s intellect, makes him an interesting person to talk with. He has the ability to arrive at his own conclusions, and not just select one from those that are presented to him. He also prefers to guide his opinions and actions with his strict principles and religious beliefs, neither of which change based on the circumstance or the audience. I admire his convictions and value his opinion, and over the last few years he’s given me several things to think about that I doubt I could have gotten anywhere else.



Up until a couple of nights ago, he’d never really said anything against poker. He’d listened to me talk about it on more than a few occasions, but had remained neutral. Of course, neutrality would have been the most favorable stance I could have expected him to take on such a subject. Yet I suspected there was always some amount of distaste; it just hadn’t been brought up.

Earlier this week, it finally did come out. The first part had to do with the nature of poker’s competition. He likened it to a bunch of little boys playing king of the hill, where the only way to be the victor is to step on everyone else on your way to the top. He brings up a good point. Most of the time, I don’t feel badly about this. But there have been occasions on which I was not sure about the ease with which my opponents could part with the money they were losing. And I can think of several players at the Hustler who I am sure are losing thousands of dollars a year, and they don’t look particularly well-to-do. The one that immediately comes to mind plays poorly and also loses his temper regularly (Mat, you will remember him as the gentleman who bizarrely refused to push his chips into the pot, after an all-in where I had aces full of twos, because he hadn’t heard me say “Call”). Anyway, if there were a true or false test with “That guy is a gambling addict” as one of the questions, I’d have to mark down a T. So yeah, there are times, when I’m winning, that I feel like I might be taking money from someone that needs it a lot more than I, and/or someone that can’t control themselves. And even if that’s not the case, it is always a game where in order for me to succeed, someone else must fail. That is why comraderie at a poker table, if it’s even real, is probably the shallowest of all. Everyone there is against you, and you’re against everyone else. For this reason, I don’t like playing for real money against my friends. Lose or win, I don’t feel good about it. Well, OK…lose, I don’t feel good about it. Ha!

That sort of feeds into my dad's subsequent suggestion. He talked briefly about a man who organized a softball team for some kids (or something like that) and said that I’d likely get more enjoyment, and be more fulfilled, doing something philanthropic – something that was good for people other than just myself. Again, I must agree. After so many evenings spent at a poker table, I can’t say I’ve ever walked away feeling fulfilled in a spiritual sense. In fact, it is really difficult for me to pinpoint exactly why I play. I do love competition, especially that which requires strategy, ingenuity, and mental toughness. I am sure that is a major reason why I go – to exercise these skills, and to test them against like-minded people. The other primary motivator is, without a doubt, money. It was really a strange thing last year, to discover that I could walk into a casino on any given evening and expect to walk out a few hours later with several hundred dollars more in my pocket. I wasn’t dating anyone then, and I had a lot of free time, so I went quite often…often enough, in fact, to make people allude to addiction.

But I digress. The point my father was trying to make is that there are certainly better ways to spend my time. When I told Amy about this, she initially thought of it as possible criticism, but I am sure that’s not what it was. My dad was trying to get me to think about other things, because he believed it would be better for me, and better for the people around me. And I go back to one of my first posts again – the one where my plan was being questioned, before I even left. I appreciate when people tell me what they really feel, if they are doing it in the spirit of guiding me towards what they believe is a better path.

Well, I’m not giving up poker. In fact, among my other silly ideas is a quest to some day get into the World Series of Poker main event, via one of these online satellite tournaments. I figure I would allocate a maximum of $1000 annually towards such a goal, and I’ll probably try at least a few this year. However, in regards to more wholesome activities, I was able to tell my father that Amy and I have settled on a goal of 72 hours (apiece) of charity work for this year. We’d set this goal in mid-January, and done one or two activities before I left for Vegas. Now that I’ve returned to Los Angeles, we will be picking up where we left off. The obvious joke here is that I should volunteer to help out the Gamblers Anonymous organization…etc. etc. Too easy! Anyway, hopefully the good deeds will balance out any negatives from poker, so I won't slide into the karmic abyss. Purgatory, here I come!

Oooh - I just had a scary thought. I bet all they play in Purgatory is $2-$4 limit. Aaaaauuuuggghhhh!!! That would drive me crazy!

Well folks, what do you say? One more Hand of the Day, for old times’ sake? Why not?

HAND OF THE DAY:
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(I'm going to ignore the hand in today's lunchtime tourney, in which I had Mary Kate dominated and all-in pre-flop (AK vs. KQ) and she sucked out a straight to cripple me. She'd told me she was going to do this on Wednesday. You've heard it all before...I made the mistake of going in with the best hand).

So let's go back in time, about 6 months. The reason this hand of the day is so interesting is that it supports my contention that, no matter how well you play, someone with no clue can come along and bust you. Since that is my excuse for the last five weeks, let me give you an extreme example. Due to the length of time, and especially the fact that I was not in the hand, I am fuzzy on the cards and details, but the essence of the hand is as written.

I was back in Virginia over the Thanksgiving holiday and staying with my sister (Kristy) and her husband (Babak). Babak is an enthusiastic and skilled card player (poker and other games), and he knew I’d been hitting the Hustler and winning. I’m pretty sure he’d been dying for a shot at the title, a la the fight scene at the end of Lethal Weapon (me being Mel Gibson, the titleholder, of course). Kristy wanted in on the action too, just to see what the fuss was all about with this poker thing. So we agreed to hold a three-person, no-limit Texas hold ‘em tourney in the kitchen.

The difficult part was determining the stakes. My conscience prevented me from making it monetary, but as I well knew, playing poker without meaningful stakes is like driving to North Dakota; it takes a lot of time, and there's really no point to it. So we had to come up with a strong, non-monetary incentive. Finally, I suggested that whoever lost the tournament would be required to sing Kenny Rogers’ tune “The Gambler” the next day, in front of the whole family, at Thanksgiving dinner. Babak and Kristy agreed, and it was on. Was it ever on!!

It soon became apparent that Kristy was the player to avoid. She played without remorse, without thought, and completely without fear. In retrospect, the tourney buy-in for Babak and me was a heck of a lot higher than it was for her. First of all, she’s a decent singer, and used to being a center of attention during musical performances. Second, her losing a tournament against the Twin Towers of Poker Ego would not be humiliating in the least; she would be expected to lose. For Babak and me, however, the prospect of losing to a sister, wife, or in-law is only slightly preferred to death, and death itself is slightly preferred to the prospect of singing "The Gambler" to a Thanksgiving dinner audience.

So we battled for a while, and Kristy had taken a decent chip lead. I was hanging in there with roughly the same amount I started with, and Babak was feeling the pressure with the short stack. So he fires out with a significant pre-flop raise. I forget the exact amount, but I’m going to put it at about 1/5 of his stack. This was a significant amount, and Kristy called. I folded, glad to be out of the hand.

Flop, I believe, was AKx, or something like that. Babak bets heavily again, and Kristy calls.

Turn – another A. Babak now goes all in, and Kristy calls.

Now Kristy turns over her hand and shows that she has absolutely nothing – no pair, no realistic draw, nothing. It was something like Q high or J high. Surely, there is no way she is going to win the hand…until Babak flips over his cards to show something like 6-2, with no pair either. Ha! I was dying laughing. He was bluffing like crazy against someone that didn’t know they were supposed to lay down their hand. It was even funnier when Kristy revealed that she had called because when she saw the pair of aces on the board on the turn, she had somehow interpreted that as meaning she alone was the beneficiary of that pair. To this day I am confused as to what her exact thought process was, but the end result (me not singing at Thanksgiving dinner) was pretty sweet. Just like that, I had yet another thing to be thankful for! For the record, Babak lived up to his end of the bargain.

Thanks also to all of you who have been with me throughout this journey. It’s been fun playing and writing, with you and for you. Hopefully, there’s an ace you can keep in here somewhere.

Play well, everyone!

...I found...

No self-respecting Grand Finale would be complete without at least a few compilation lists - Best Of, Worst Of, etc. So here we go.

---------------------------------------------

Vegas visitors/guests:
Mike Chang and two buddies
Chris, Kerry, Kerry’s mom
Amy
Joe and Eileen K.
Heather, Nikki, Sara
Frank P.
Cecile and Bryant
Scott and Aimee
Dave, Mat, Jeff

I hope I didn't forget anyone!

---------------------------------------------

Song guessers:

Chuy (7):
Heartache Tonight (Eagles)
Voodoo (Godsmack)
Dream On (Aerosmith)
Death in Vegas (Dead Elvis)
Like Suicide (Soundgarden)
Coming Undone (Korn)
Train of Consequences (Megadeth)

Rob M. (4)
Patience (Guns & Roses)
Piranha (Lord Tracy)
I’ll Be There For You (Rembrandts)
King Of Pain (The Police)

Lan Whu (4):
Question of Balance (Moody Blues) *
Domination (Pantera) *
It Makes Me Ill (N’Sync) *
Rapper’s Delight (Sugarhill Gang) *

Jeff L. (3):
Ace of Spades (Motorhead)
All Apologies (Nirvana)
Mark Snow (X-Files music director)

Amy (2):
Back In Black (AC/DC)
Loser (Beck)

Limber Lips (2):
The True Man’s Poker Epic (“name that show” post)
The Gambler (Kenny Rogers)

Jim S. (2):
Cigarettes and Alcohol (Oasis)*
Superstitious (Stevie Wonder)

Scott M. (1)
Los Angeles (Frank Black)

Joe M. (1):
Enter Sandman (Metallica)

Jeff C. (1):
“that's a monster of a tell” (Godzilla caption contest)

No one:
Use Your Fist, Not Your Mouth (Marilyn Manson)
Take The Power Back (Rage Against the Machine)
“There is no other way” (quote from White Zombie movie)
All Or Nothing (Whitesnake)
Just Walk Away (??? This was Cecile’s song quote)
The Illusion of Power (Black Sabbath)
Self Destruction, Part 2 (Nine Inch Nails)
Rootin’ Tootin’ Cowboy (unknown)
Punish Me (Rammstein)

* Songs marked with an asterisk were found using illegal Internet searches - or at least, people who admitted they were using Internet searches at some point. They claimed to be unaware of the rule at the time, but frankly, I don't trust anyone who's involved in a poker blog in any way. Ha!

---------------------------------------------

Things I hope to never see and/or experience again:

1. Having blood come out every time I blow my nose for 5 weeks straight (the air in Vegas is really dry).
2. Losing with pocket aces.
3. The “My Sharona” house/techno mashup tune they played every half an hour or so at the bar next to the poker area at the MGM Grand.
4. Smelling smoke as I walk into the place I live every day.
5. Removable hand-held shower heads, heavy and with metal protrusions, perched upon the most precarious of supports, such that the slightest touch could very well send it crashing down upon the top of your foot, resulting in a bloody, painful mess.
6. The “Men: The Show” promo flyer so thoughtfully given to me by Sara (one of my cousin’s friends). **
7. Mat Lew’s voice in the morning.
8. The food at the “best Thai restaurant in the country”, Lotus of Siam in Las Vegas. I give it a D+.
9. The AC/DC – Guns& Roses mashup tune they played every other half hour or so at the bar next to the poker area at the MGM Grand.

** This flyer was responsible for a pretty embarrassing moment. A week before I left, my landlady brought by a potential new tenant to show him the place. I had cleaned things up rather nicely that morning, but had completely forgotten about that flyer. It proudly bore a brace of bare-chested beefcakes, and was prominently displayed on the refrigerator. Of course, it was only as they were walking in the door that I noticed it and hurriedly took it down. A few minutes later I found out the guy was coming to Las Vegas to be a vocalist/entertainer, so I put it back up (ha – just kidding).

---------------------------------------------

Worst misspelling of my name, which in full is “Jerald Eric DeMars”:
Erec Gckars, Jerac (Wynn hotel – on a food receipt)

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Best money-making opportunities in Vegas:

$2-$4 limit hold ‘em at Binion’s. I played for one round (approximately 20 minutes), with the intent of playing at the birthplace of the World Series of Poker, and also impressing the girlfriend. Pulled in $37 for an hourly rate of about $111.

Star Wars penny slots – a $1 investment was increased by 100% in about a minute, for a $60/hour expectation.

Bettting against whatever my former co-worker Mike Chang is betting on in basketball – approximately $150/hour rate. Meeting with Mike and his buddies after Day 1 of their March Madness trip, I found out that he was 1 for 9 on his wagers to that point. Never one to pass up a good deal, I offered to bet $5 against him on whatever his next wager was. I’d say the entire transaction required less than two minutes. Easiest money in Vegas, baby.

Thursday, April 20, 2006

And in his final words...

This is more difficult than I would have guessed. I’ve got a whole bunch of things I want to address in this, the final post, but I lack a coherent thread with which to tie it all together. There’s just too much, and it’s too varied. Really, what I should do is separate the various ideas into separate posts, and I may end up doing that before this is all over.

(NOTE: I did break it up. This first part will be almost all analysis, so if you aren't particularly interested in the wherefores and whys of just the poker, wait for the next two installments.)

In order to gauge the success of my experiment of living in Las Vegas as a professional poker player, let’s first re-visit the goals, as stated in the very first post:

1. To experience what life is like for a professional poker player
2. Improve my skill as a player
3. Make money
4. Document the experience on a daily basis via the blog

Goals 1-3 above are general, so I also had two more specific goals that I felt, if achieved, would imply that I had been successful in the others:

5. Play for 200 hours (40 hours/week for 5 weeks)
6. Make $10,000 ($50/hour for 200 hours)

OK, so let’s look first at the cold, hard truth of the numbers. Actual results are:

Total time played: 155.5 hours
Net gain/(loss): (-$1851)
Net hourly rate: -$11.90

As I look at these results vs. the stated goals, it occurs to me that the results are a teensy bit off of the goals. I can see where some people would say, “You know, I’m not sure, but I don’t think you got there.” These same people might follow that up with “I’ve got a home game coming up this Friday – would you like to come?”

The one that’s easy to explain away is the total time played; 155.5 hours vs. the goal of 200 hours. I would have been able to play more hours (and would have wanted to play more hours) if I was being successful. However, the losses prevented this in two ways, not counting the psychological impact. First, my frequent bust-outs would force me to leave the casinos before I wanted on many nights; my allotted bankroll for the evening would be gone. Second, the losses eventually caused me to reduce my allotted daily bankrolls, leading to situations where after busting out with a single buy-in, I would leave. Therefore, I do not feel as if the 155.5 hours played is a “failure” to meet a goal, exactly. I would have considered it a failure if things had been going well financially, and I had not made the 200-hour goal. I feel that reducing my daily bankrolls due to my poor results, dwindling “main” bankroll, and horrible state of mind, was in keeping with the overall goal to live as a pro – I believe a disciplined pro would do the same thing. This is somewhat at odds with previous statements I have made about a disciplined pro being able to ignore bad beats and continue to play at a high level, but that was meant more in terms of a single session, not a protracted losing streak.

As for the loss of $1851 and hourly rate of -$11.90, that is much tougher to analyze. In a game as complex and demanding as poker, there rarely is a single reason that you can point to as the cause of failure (or success, for that matter). My belief is that the discrepancy between my goals and my results was caused by a combination of the following, which I’ve ordered in my opinion of their importance:

- A disproportionately large number of bad beats (a.k.a. “running bad”)
- Competition that was tougher than anticipated
- Attempting to evolve my playing style (i.e. more aggressive, acting on reads)
- Poor state of mind
- Missing the majority of my monster drawing hands
- Not finding that little old lady with the pension fund to bail me out
- Erroneous Rockie horoscopes emailed to me by Amy

It seems impossible for me to say, with any certainty, how much my results were affected by each of the above. I’m probably too close to the situation to objectively assess it. And I know that one of the hallmarks of losing players is to blame their results on bad beats (conveniently ignoring their poor play, and the bad beats that they put on other people). So even as I believe deep in my heart that bad beats are the single biggest reasons for my losses, I am aware of how it could be perceived by the public, and aware that I also might be fooling myself. You never know.

However, I point to two things that lend credence to my belief. The first is my history as a poker player. The year prior to my Vegas trip, I had played for over 300 hours and made over $15,000. So I feel like I have a pretty decent idea about how the cards should fall. Sometimes they bite you, but overall they don’t if you play a tight game. Of course, I have read and heard many times about running bad for weeks and months, so I knew it could happen, and more importantly, I knew it could happen to anyone, regardless of their play. Given all of that, it is important to realize that a person can play very good poker and still hit a stretch where they get destroyed, and this stretch can last for an extended time.

The other thing that supports (or at least, does not discredit) my position is the data I’ve logged. Every time I played, I recorded the day of week, and how I did hour by hour, among other things. My goal was to see if some days of the week were better than others to play, and likewise with the time of day. I expected a sinusoidal flow to both – peaks around Friday and Saturday with troughs around Tuesday and Wednesday, and peaks/troughs in the time of day as well (although I had no solid ideas about when those would be).

However, my data shows none of that, for either aspect. Now, I am not well-versed in statistical analysis, so I may be missing something. Still, it appears to me that my hourly rates have absolutely no correlation to either the day of week, or time of day. I invite anyone who cares to do so to analyze my results themselves and comment, after first promising not to laugh at my Excel spreadsheet. Here it is:

http://rapidshare.de/files/18535596/Track.xls.html

The rates based on day of week are as follows:
Saturday: -20.25
Sunday: -86.15
Monday: -6.15
Tuesday: -4.62
Wednesday: 43.91
Thursday: -44.10
Friday: 27.65

The hourly rates of the 7 hour-long periods during which I had the most accumulated time are as follows:
1800-1900 -60.69
1900-2000 37.29
2000-2100 -36.05
2100-2200 -6.71
2200-2300 23.65
2300-0000 -32.00
0000-0100 -11.35

To me, the random nature of both sets of data can mean one of two things:
1. There is no correlation between day-of-week/time-of-day and hourly rate
2. I don’t have enough data points, and/or an abnormal concentration of unusual results (read: bad beats) has skewed the results, and/or I played poorly and inconsistently.

Personally, I would not believe #1 without a lot more information. I strongly suspect that the hourly rate of any pro poker player in Las Vegas is going to correspond directly with the proportion of tourists in the games. I also believe that the concentration of tourists playing poker is going to change based on day of week and time of day. To be truly accurate about it, what you would really want to do is track hour-by-hour rates on each day; for instance, on Saturdays it is possible that the highest concentration of tourists occurs at 1400, while on Wednesdays it’s at 1900. However, I do not have enough data to even consider doing that.

Anyway, that leaves #2 as the most probable explanation. After Week 1, I posted a list of the major hands where I’d lost to inferior hands/suckouts, and it numbered 13. Anyone following along with the rest of the blog knows that there’s been a lot more since then. I haven’t counted, but I’d say it’s safe to assume that the number has at least doubled to 26. In contrast, the list of major hands where I was the beneficiary of the suckout is four entries long, if I remember correctly:

QT sucking out two pair on the river
76 suited vs KK (flopped two pair)
76 suited vs KK(flopped straight)
66 vs. JJ (board was K63 – don’t know why the guy called my all-in on the turn)

So there is a huge discrepancy there of 20 (or more) bad beats. At roughly $300 a pop, that’s $6000. You can throw in the 1 for 6 record of my drawing hands (where I am the favorite), and pretty soon things start to add up. I don’t know. Maybe I’m just searching for a reason here that doesn’t have anything to do with myself. I don’t think I am, but it’s possible.

Now about the competition. Without a doubt, the games were tougher than I expected. I expected a quality of play that I’ve experienced on previous trips to Vegas – universally poor. However, many nights I found myself at tables that were tough to beat. A frequent question posed to me was if I considered the games to be tougher than the ones in Los Angeles. I don’t believe they are, but I really can only compare to the $2-$5 no limit game at the Hustler, which is where I’ve spent 95% of my L.A. poker life. My opinion is that overall, the games are comparable. I know that when people compare my Vegas results with my L.A. results, many will conclude that the games are tougher in Vegas. In my mind, this would be a classic case of using results alone as the input for the decision-making. In analysis of poker, you must take into account how the results were achieved. For example, a player might play a J3 offsuit, flop JJ3, and make $1000 against someone playing AJ. They will then conclude that playing J3 off, and similar hands, is a wise choice because you might get paid huge. They will then proceed to slowly lose $2000 over the next month in playing similar hands and getting in trouble with them. The point is, just because I lost a lot of money in Vegas and made a lot of money in L.A. does not mean the games are tougher in Vegas. In fact, I have sat at several $2-$5 NL tables in Vegas that were populated by 3 or more abysmal players at the same time – and that is something you rarely see in L.A. However, the overall skill level in Vegas is without question higher than I expected.

In regards to my attempts to improve my game, I started out with good intentions, but could not follow through as I had hoped. I was well aware that playing looser, more aggressively, and actually making decisions based on reads would likely be detrimental to my bankroll. I anticipated making mistakes, because A) I have not played that way in the past, and B) It’s the most difficult aspect of poker, in my opinion. Two major hands come to mind, and I blogged both as HOTDs (I had ace-deuce in one, 77 in the other). I lost both. I am fairly certain, though, that the optimum way to play poker is to play fast, loose and aggressive, and making decisions based on your opponents’ behavior. The players that come to a table and miraculously triple their stack in about 45 minutes almost always do so by playing that style. At the very least, a good player should be able to play that way at times, in order to mix up their game. The thing is, it’s much easier said than done. It’s something I plan to work on more, in the future.

However, I feel I still made headway in my game. I did finally pick up on a few physical tells. I also feel like I made excellent, excellent progress in not letting tilt take me over, and in learning to call it quits when I am tired. I have had several sessions in L.A. where I have paid dearly for ignoring my physical and/or mental state, and before this trip I questioned whether I was even able to do so.

On to “State of Mind”. I don’t really have to talk about this much, as anyone reading the blog has been pretty well informed. I don’t think it was that big of a deal in the overall scheme of things, in terms of affecting my results. It sure did affect how I felt about poker, as the weeks wore on.

As for the little old lady and pension…when I moved into my apartment, my landlady did mention to me that there was an elderly lady living right next door to me! She also mentioned this lady had a tendency to start up conversations from which it was difficult to extricate yourself. She meant this as a warning of sorts, but I was like “Hey, she sounds lonely”. I don’t know what her name was, but I started thinking of her as “Plan B”. Well, in 5 weeks I never saw her once. My suspicion is that my landlady, after hearing about my results for the first week or so, warned her about me.

Finally, the Rockie horoscope as provided by Amy. I suggest you look up the Rockie archives for Capricorns, March 11 – April 15, 2006, and then compare the predictions with the day-after reports on my blog. Hoo boy! That would tell you everything you ever needed to know about astrology.

Bottom line: of my six goals, I succeeded in the top two, and came close in #4 (daily blogging...not quite, but close enough, for crying out loud!). The ones related to time and money were not met. We either call it a moral or immoral victory, depending on what you think about the institution of poker. More on that in the final-final post, which will come after the middle-final post. Ha! You can already see the effects of me working on a government contract, after just a few short days! A simple little final post turns into a three-part eruption of documentation and hypenated half-truths.

Until tomorrow, then. Play well, everyone.

Monday, April 17, 2006

As for me, I hocked my brains, packed my bags, and headed west

Hello everyone -

I'm now back in Los Angeles and re-joining all you working stiffs out there with legitimate jobs. For those of you that don't know me, in real life I am a software engineer for an aerospace/defense contractor. Today was my first day on my new project and it was accompanied, as usual, by an avalanche of information - of which I absorbed maybe 2%. In the past, this has been accompanied by a semi-panicky feeling of "Man, I will never get all this" but I've been through it enough times now to know that I'll eventually retain enough to get by, or at least, convince my superiors that I am getting by. It would help if I cared in the least about the convergence of technology and the military. But I don't. The enjoyment I get from the job has nothing to do with the subject matter.

Anyway, by the end of this week I hope to put together a summary post that will conclude this blog. It will take a while mainly because I am trying to get a normal life put back together. Plus, I need to get the rest of my Vegas data entered and see if I can draw any meaningful conclusions from it, other than the obvious "Dude, you suck at poker". Among my many fields of expertise is not knowing how to manipulate Excel very well, so I will be bludgeoning the numbers to death in a most ham-handed way. Finally, I have a sneaking suspiction that my last post is going to be rather lengthy (who, me?).

In the meantime, there will be no posting. However, to keep things interesting, and because I am really curious, I would like to invite and encourage all readers to comment on this post with a little bit about themselves and their thoughts on poker, the blog, life in general, or whatever you feel like. I've been told a few times that the blog has sort of become a daily part of some people's lives. One of my sisters in Virginia said she had told a lot of people out there about it. And then there have been several readers that seemingly materialized out of nowhere - Lan Whu, Limber Lips, and Chuy, among others. Father Time wrote in with an interesting chronological situation, and someone else wrote in with a slew of sentences that contained words that were spelled the same but pronounced differently (I loved both of those comments...so weird and random). Finally, there are also several people who would send me emails because they were a little shy about public posting. Well, now I welcome anyone and everyone to introduce themselves to everyone else, via the comment section. It's your turn to share what's on your mind. Hopefully in this way we can have some new material to read until I get the last post up.

Play well, everyone!

Saturday, April 15, 2006

Mr. Lew's Restaurant Review

Hello everyone!

This is Mr. Lew. It is an honor to be placing this entry on this board! Since I am not a poker expert, I will not be discussing poker.

On the RARE occasion in which I visit Las Vegas, I like to enjoy a good meal. Thus, I picked a restaurant and would like to offer up this review of “Nora’s Cuisine”. The following is the restaurant’s general information.

Nora’s Cuisine
6020 W. Flamingo Rd.
Las Vegas, NV 89103
www.norascuisine.com
702.873.8990

After finishing a session of poker at Caesar’s Palace, Mr. C, Mr. D, Mr. K and myself get into a rental car and start driving to Nora’s Cuisine. I have a map of its location and know it is near the corner of W. Flamingo Rd. and S. Jones Blvd. While driving west on Flamingo looking for it, we get to Jones. Based on the map, I know have past the restaurant. At this time, I give FAILING marks to Mr. C, Mr. D and Mr. K for navigation as well as back seat driving. Since I DO NOT visit this town very often, I cannot be expected to know where everything is. We find the restaurant in a strip mall and they appear to be busy. This is not a problem. I made reservations for 9:15 PM and we are on time.

I speak with the pretty hostess and she informs me that there will be a 20 minute wait for a table. Hmmm. That is ok. Everyone is working hard and the restaurant is very busy. Mr. C, Mr. D and Mr. K are informed of the delay. They don’t seem to care. They quickly return to their discussion regarding poker. Exploration time! First things first, I need sugar. I go to the bar and get a half orange juice / half cranberry juice with no ice. I do not drink, but Nora’s bar looks capable of mixing any drink one could think of. I did not see many bottles of wine though and did not look for it. Thus I cannot comment upon their wine selection. Looking around the room with the bar (there are two small rooms), There is one long table. I going to guess the table had about thirty people sitting on it. That is a long table. The bar itself has high chairs with some older looking Italian gentlemen who were by themselves were eating dinner. Heading back to the hostess station, there are a group of approximately sixteen young people waiting for dinner. I don’t remember anything about the guys. The young ladies were all in dressy casual attire. At this point, I have two words going through my head, Eye Candy. Life is good. Note that there were a few families at the restaurant. Nora’s is not a see and be seen type of restaurant, which is good because I hate those types. Near the hostess station, there was a young man making pizzas. The dough twirling was cool. I watched him for a little bit.

When we were seated, there was a basket of garlic bread. The bread was nothing to write home about, but is was buttery and hot. After six hours of poker, it seemed good at the time. I had four pieces. J

Looking at the pasta portion of the menu, I saw the words “tomato & basil” and felt in the mood. When the waitress came, I pointed at the menu where it said tomato & basil and probably said, do you have this kind of thing with chicken. I thought I was ordering spaghetti, but upon a later check of the menu, it said penne. When the dish came, I asked about it and after checking the menu, realized that it was my mistake. She was VERY nice to me about it, took the penne back and had the kitchen make it with spaghetti. For this, I will give Nora’s a B+ for service. Note that I would never give a restaurant any type of A unless the service is outstanding. This implies a dedicated waiter/waitress to each table or maybe to every two tables. Inexpensive restaurant cannot afford this…

Mr. C had the “Crazy” Alfredo. It is a fettucine Alfredo with chicken, sausage, shrimp, mushrooms, sun-dried tomatoes and jalapenos. He appeared to be happy with it. Mr. D had Chicken Carciofi. It is linguine with boneless chicken breast, tomato, artichokes and capers. He appears to be happy with it. Mr. K had gnocchi. It is a potato dumpling type pasta. I don’t know much about it, but he appeared to be happy with it.

Now, as stated above, I had a tomato & basil spaghetti. It is spaghetti with tomatoes and basil. Can we say duh? J I will rate it as just ok. It was not good or outstanding. It seemed like they made it appropriately, but I just felt like it was just ok. I have had the pasta at Angelini Osteria in Los Angeles and Valentino’s in Los Angeles and I thought their pasta was good. Here in Las Vegas, I have had pasta at the casual portion of Valentino’s in the Venetian and at the Pasta Shop on Tropicana near Eastern. Those two places had only ok pasta too. It seems like the best I can find in Las Vegas is just ok pasta. Oh well. I guess I will keep looking. I want a religious experience good when I eat a meal.

For desert, I pre-ordered a warm chocolate cake. It was made with Valrhona chocolate. Can we say chooocooolaaate? I like Valrhona! It came with some vanilla type sauce with pistachios in it. The cake itself was warm when I took my first bite. The outer parts of the cake was a little crusty from the baking and the cake seemed to be crumbly when cut into with a fork. I guess this adds texture, but I prefer just a touch less texture. Note that often, texture is good in a desert. When the cake was in my mouth, the flavor of the chocolate came through. It was not too strong, not over powering and not too weak. There was no sweet after taste to it, but it was sweet. Ok, I can’t explain that last statement. Maybe I mean it was not too sweet. The taste of the chocolate was good. As for the vanilla sauce with the pistachios, I felt this did not add anything to the desert in a positive way. In fact, it seemed like it distracted my attention away from the chocolate flavor of the cake. It think that this desert needs a better sauce complement. That or at least improve the sauce. Even with a complementing sauce that is lacking, I give the warm chocolate cake a thumbs up. It is good.

Oh well, Nora’s seems ok. Would I go back? I guess so. The prices seem good for the food that you get. The food seems ok. The service, while a little slow, was nice because I did screw up my order and they did not make me feel bad about it or charge it on the bill.

----------------------------
Peanut Gallery Comments:

Love the sarcasm Mat! You definitely visit Vegas the LEAST! We felt good about the fact that this place was right next door to an Arbys. If this place sucks, the cheddar melt and curly fries are sinfully good. Mat, I have a question: There was eye candy walking about and you’re watching a guy twirling pizza? Was he cute? Oh and by the way, if the bread was so crappy why did you have FOUR pieces? It would have been more if Eric didn’t have 8!

Mr. Lew’s review: lukewarm thumbs almost up. The rest of us: Great atmosphere, nice “scenery” and good food. Good pick Mat. Manga, Manga, Eat, Eat!!

Jeff

There's a little black spot on the sun today

Hey all, Jeff here. It’s my turn to spin the story. So far the trip has been a blast. Of course that’s coming from a man who is up for the trip. I can’t say the same for Dave. Talk about rat bastards, he ran into his fair share at Caesars’. More about that later.

The day begun with a Wynn buffet run. Those people know how to put together a spread. The other 100 people in line thought so too. We spent our time wisely in line discussing our poker strategies for the day, hoping it would translate into higher profits for the night. After breakfast we went to the poker room at Caesars. I was shocked to see the place was packed at 3pm on a Friday. We all ended up sitting down at the same table. This was my first real no limit experience. So I adopted the patented Lew / King style of power poker. The table was tight and mostly business. Before long Eric was using his skills to build a fairly sizable stack. Mat was up and Dave and I were holding our own. Then the table slimmed down to all but the four of us and some poor schmo. The game quickly turned into a home game style of play. I’ll call you one time! Your ace is no good. You’re playing that junk, I raise! Eric’s stack saw the flaw in this style of play. Before we knew it four brass and aggressive players sat down and changed the table. They were having fun and playing like this was a penny ante game. Everyone got his game face on, waiting for a hand. Unfortunately I was the first to stand up to an aggressive raise. I had AJ in late position. One yahoo made his frequent raise, so I figured I have to be good. That was until the reraise for most of my stack came out. He hadn’t made a move like this before, he was always the initiator. I wanted to think I was good enough to put him on a bluff and call, but my greenness won out and I mucked. He flipped over JJ, whew! Thank you poker gods. Dave was the one that actually got big hands against these guys. Much to his demise, however. His AA got cracked by J9s, KK got cracked by AQ (99 also in the pot). Well played good sir, unfortunately the yahoos won this round.

Hand Of The Day
------------------

Okay actually this should be the hand of yesterday, but it’s the only entertaining analysis I can think of. This is the same 2/4 limit game Mr. C and Mr. L played in.

Pre Flop: Mr K. was playing good hands as always. Mr. C was in the big blind. Mr. K raises from early position with AJ. Mr. C has AK and before he calls looks up and smiles, you can’t steal my blind! Okay the interesting folly here is that no one ever tries to steal blinds at this low limit game and Mr. K wasn’t trying to do that, but it sets up the mood for the hand.

Flop: Kxx two diamonds
Mr. C bets 2, everyone calls.

Turn: A diamonds
This is where it gets interesting. Mr. C was getting his chips ready for a bet in the dark but in mid motion the Ace came out and Mr. C unwillingly hesitated before throwing the bet out. Mr. K took this as a sign of weakness, laughs and says: You didn’t like that card, raise! Mr. C reraises and Mr. Ks radar goes off and he calls.

River: Rag of diamonds
Now with four to the flush out there betting is scary when you don’t have one. Mr. C throws it out, Mr. K calls quickly. Uh oh! Mr. C says you got a diamond? Nope! Two pair wins it.

Mr. K later tells of the tell he saw. He was the unfortunate victim of masterful acting by Mr. C! (Actually Mr. C was lucky it was a diamond giving a possible flush to help give off the false tell)

This home game style of play is why I love playing low limit games.

May all your cards be live and your pots be monsters!

Friday, April 14, 2006

I Met a Man, He Was a Good Man

Hey everybody. This is Dave. As some of you know, I am a man of few words (sarcasm intended), so I'll make this brief. Mat, Jeff, and I arrived last night around 11:00, chatted with Eric a bit, failed to convince him to go out, and then headed over to the MGM for some poker. We had to wait for about half an hour. Mat's pre-play preparation was truly amazing. His concentration was so deep, that if I didn't know any better, I'd think he was actually sleeping. Oh wait, he was sleeping. On to the poker: Jeff and I played a $60 buy-in stop-n-go tournament. 10 players, quick blind structure, first place gets $300, second place $200. Very similar to our Friday games but with an even quicker blind structure. I loved it. Didn't do very well, but very entertaining. I think what's great about this kind of structure is that about after 20-30 minutes, the table gets to see all-in confrontations all the time. It's fun to ooh and ahh after after the flop, turn, and river when you know what the players have. Lots of crazy bad beats. Jeff and I were in the final five and everybody had about the same size stack. I went all in with A9 offsuit (blinds were huge at this point), eventual winner calls with AT, and Jeff calls with K-8. Jeff is gone after the hand and I'm essentially gone.

All in all, a very fun night. I played 2 of these stop-n-go tourneys, losting $120, but won about $150 at 2-4 limit with lots of good cards coming my way. Jeff did a little better, playing one tourney, losing $60 there, and then winning $150 at limit. Mat is down $160 with a lot of it coming after Jeff through him beyond tilt (see HOTD). Eric says he's up $300 due to staying in. He thanks us for getting in so late.

Eric - you are the good man referred to in the title. I had this really bad feeling when we got back to Eric's apartment at 5am that my next sight was going to be Eric's ugly mug glaring down at me at 8:00 with a cheesy grin yelling "Get up Loser! Ha!" Eric, however, was a total stud, letting us sleep til after ten. He probably was just sleeping, but I'll give him the credit anyways.

Without further ado:

Hand Of The Day
------------------

There will be no educational talk here as I'm not a very good poker player. This was just a fun hand to watch.

2-4 Limit
Mr. C under the gun has AA, Mr. L is two to the left and has KK.

Pre-Flop: Mr. C slow plays and smooth calls. Mr. L follows suit and does the same. Great minds obviously think alike. 3 or 4 players are in.

Flop: K 9 2 rainbow
Mr. C bets ($2), Mr. L eyes are bulging, but he sticks with his strategy and cintinues to slow play, simply calling again with his set (very smooth).

Turn: A
This is where it gets fun. I think at this time there was maybe one other player but I am completely ignoring him. I'm hoping something good is going to happen. Mr. C bets, Mr. L decides no more slow playing, so he raises in typical Mr. L. fashion with 8 chips flying through the air. Other guy is long gone. Re-raise, re-raise, re-raise. At this point, I feel this blast of air come out of Mr. L who is directly to my right. He is defeated literally and figuratively. He mutters some obscenity I won't repeat here, glares at his friend, and calls. He is now a broken man.

River has nothing.
Mr. C bets, Mr. L calls. They show their cards. All Mr. C can do is give a sheepish smile and say "Sorry about the Mat". I try to soothe him by saying it would have been a lot worse if this were no limit. As you can probably guess, that didn't seem to help much.

It is now morning, and Mat is still not happy with Jeff. He offers this quote: "Jeff, Damn you, you rat bastard". Jeff apologizes again. It is one happy family here.

Tuesday, April 11, 2006

The Lord does give, the Lord does take

Today's theme is "punishment".

Last night, I got told, for the third time this trip, that I looked like Thomas Jane, star of the 2004 movie "The Punisher". Frankly, I don't see it (click the thumbnail):

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

Even if someone could squint their eyes and scrunch up their nose and see a vague resemblance, there is no truth to the idea that I am punishing anyone. Quite the opposite, in fact.

However, if cookies were dollars, I think I'd actually be ahead on this trip! A couple of days ago Mary Kate asked me if I'd received a package from her and Joe. I hadn't, since it had been sent through regular mail and I don't have access to the mailbox for this apartment. So today my landlady got it for me, and lo and behold, it is chock full of Oreos, other cookies, crackers, and a bunch of little games. Very, very nice of you two - thanks so much! I'm looking forward to the little football game and am hatching a top-secret plan to slip the "magic card deck" into the next lunchtime tournament.

I was doubly surprised to find another care package from my sister Becky, filled with oodles of homemade Spritz butter cookies. Those of you who have been to my Christmas Cookie Party may remember these as the ones that get squeezed out of the cookie press, into little shapes. Well, this Spritz were in the shapes of hearts, spades, and diamonds. I didn't see any clubs in there, but I ate 5 spades. Aces to aces, flush to flush. Thanks sis - you're awesome!

Speaking of aces...

HAND OF THE DAY:
------------------------

Spoiler: It's not like this is original or anything.

I went back to the MGM last night to play $1-$2. I decided I would buy in only once, for $200. So I did, and then proceeded to be rather card-dead for the next 2.5 hours. I think I voluntarily played 3 hands during that stretch, winning only one when I turned a pair and rivered two pair with JT suited. Finally I flopped a straight with 84 off in the big blind, and doubled up my remaining $150 through someone who had flopped two pair. All we need is patience, right?

Since I was playing so few hands, my table image was once again super-duper tight, and just in case anyone hadn't noticed, there was a loudmouth at the other end of the table that kept spouting off about it every time I did enter a pot. And there were a couple of gentlmen from some European country that really liked to put people on the spot by going all in whenever a scare card appeared on the turn or river. Whenever they sensed weakness, they would do this, and it was working for them. One of them pushed me off KK and a 9-high flop when he called my initial bet, then raised me when a second 9 came that also put three to a flush on the board. So I was hoping at some point to use this against them.

Finally, I get AA when I'm UTG. No one at this table would ever call an UTG raise from me, so I limped, and got lucky when the guy right behind me raised to $6 - that silly, annoying, pointless raise - and 5 other people called. So it's back to me, and I make it $30. Loudmouth calls, as does my previous nemesis, Euroboy.

Flop is 972 with two spades. I'm first to act, and there's now around $120 in the pot. I'm not worried about Loudmouth at all, because he was totally and 100% afraid of me. Not only did he keep saying this, ad nauseum, but he had previously checked and folded JJ to me on a T-high flop when I bet (I had 66). I pretty much knew he would fold anything other than a set. So I wanted to throw out a little bit of bait for Euroboy.

I settled on $50. This would make a spade draw slightly unprofitable, but at the same time it would look kind of weak into a $120 pot. Loudmouth hemmed and hawed, talking about how good his draw was, and then folded. Then Euroboy, with a grand flourish, shoved all of his chips into the pot.

Trust me, my chips almost beat his into the center of the table. I immediately flipped over my aces, and saw by my opponent's Euroface that he was beaten. I'd gotten him to do exactly what I wanted him to do. The turn and the river were a K and a J, and I was getting ready to rake in the pot when my opponent flipped over T8 clubs for the straight. Egads! He didn't even have a flush draw. From his talk afterwards, he had put me on AK and thought I wouldn't call.

This around 0030. I had $5 remaining, so I cashed out and left. As I walked back to my car, I felt mostly like I have after my Hustler beats - OK with the fact that I'd gotten all my money in the pot with the best hand and being a strong favorite to win, and gotten drawn out on. I set the guy up perfectly, and he went for it. There's little else I can do.

I guess my sisters aren't reading the blog, because I'm pretty sure they would have gotten yesterday's lyrics from "Rootin' Tootin' Cowboy". This was a song from a piano lesson book that we all three played as children, and my dad loved this song.

Play well, everyone.

Monday, April 10, 2006

Got myself a Stetson, and a fancy vest

I didn't play yesterday. But I realized that I basically need to cowboy up, get back out there, and try to spank a few people.

Chuy, nice try on the NIN song, but the title is "Self Destruction, Part Two". Today's song title would very likely be only guessed by either of my sisters, or my dad. The author is not necessary, since I don't know it myself.

While we're on the subject of old music and cowboys, I thought I'd share with you all a wonderful resource for downloading what the website authors are calling "Roots Music". It's a boatload of free MP3s of various styles, mostly from the 1920s-1930s. Good stuff if you're interested in music from that era: http://juneberry78s.com/sounds/index.htm

I have no HOTD of my own, so I will address one that I got via email, from someone who requested my opinion.

HAND OF THE DAY:
------------------------

A woman sat down on my immediate right, and this was maybe her second hand. She had taken down a decent pot in her first hand, so I had no information on her except that maybe she was feeling pretty confident having won her first hand without much of a fight. She had maybe $250 and I had maybe $325.

She was in seat 7; I was in seat 8 (only 9 players fit at the table instead of 10). I think seat 2 or 3 was small blind ($3) and seat 3 or 4 was big blind ($5).

I think she had bet only one previous hand, but I don't remember anything about it. However, she did make a sizable bet in order to scare away her contender on the first hand, which allowed her to take down about $50 profit to her on the hand.

On the hand in question, I don't think there was any meaningful previous betting. There were the blinds, and maybe one person called the big blind. There was no more than $13 or 18 in the pot by the time it got to her. As far as prior betting at the table before she arrived at the table, most big pre-flop bets by some of the people were running around $35.

The cards get dealt and I have AK unsuited. Woman bets $75. With $5 big blind, this seems like way too high a pre-flop bet, but then again I don't know whether she knows what an appropriate pre-flop bet is. I put her on a pocket pair, but given that I have AK I put her on a pair of tens, jacks or queens. I also know that if I call, I'll see her post-flop bet before having to commit to anything or reveal anything about my hand. So be honest... was I nuts to call? You won't hurt my feelings if you say yes.

Nuts to call? I don't know about that, but you pretty much need the pre-flop nuts (AA) to call this bet, in my opinion. KK would suffice as well. QQ I'd think about. Everything else, I'd toss, especially AK.

Let's take a look at AK and the read you had on your opponent (TT, JJ, QQ). Assuming your read is correct, your opponent will bet out strongly on any flop that doesn't contain an A or a K. You will then be forced to fold. If you do hit the flop, your opponent will likely check and fold to any bet from you. You will hit the flop roughly 1/3 of the time. So you will likely lose your $75 call two-thirds of the time, and have little expectation for extracting any more money from your opponent on the remaining 1/3 of the time. Clearly, you have a negative expectation overall with this hand. Then let's not forget the rare cases where you hit your A or K, and your opponent makes trips - in which case you probably will lose $250, the amount your opponent had in her stack.

Let's also not forget the cases in which your read is incorrect and your opponent has KK or AA. I agree that her raise is more likely to indicate a medium to medium-large pair, but there is some chance she could be going a little crazy with a truly premium hand, in which case you're toast once again. The fact that it was a woman doing the betting makes that scenario even more likely, as they tend to play much tighter than the men. Honestly people, there are few things at a poker table that scare me more than a woman betting. They are even scarier then, than they are in real life.

So to me, AK is an easy laydown in that hand. Other than folding, your second best option would be to push all in. AK is a slight dog to a smaller pair only after all 5 community cards have hit the board, which won't happen most of the time if you simply call, since you will have to fold after the flop. It's also possible your opponent would lay down TT or JJ and you would take the pot right there. With such large pre-flop bet though, this is unlikely.

The only situation in which I would call such a large bet pre-flop with AK is if the bettor was short-stacked and going all-in. In that case, their range of hands is much more likely to include AQ, AJ, KQ, or any of the smaller pocket pairs. Even then you're probably gambling with a disadvantage on the hand, but the blinds and limper money make up for that, and heck, it ain't no fun to lay down AK.

Play well, everyone. Yee-haw!!!